Blackjack – Online Blackjack Net

Archive for September, 2011

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Experienced blackjack players, and lots of novices as well, know that “the Book” says to double down in some situations and split pairs in others. When appropriate, these tactics lower the house edge in the game – improving solid citizens’ long-term prospects. In doubling, players match their original bets and receive single additional cards. In splitting, they also match their original bets then play each half of the pair as the first card of a separate hand.

Not all players is comfortable doubling or splitting, chiefly because of the extra money which must be put at risk. Some players wonder whether the lower house advantage justifies exposure to the possibility of steep bankroll downswings if these moves go awry.

In principal, the probability of receiving a hand calling for doubling is 9.5 percent in an eight-deck game. On average, that’s roughly once every 10 or 11 hands – twice per shoe at a table with four spots in action. Splits are less common, with probability of 2.5 percent. Again on average, that’s approximately once every 40 hands – once every two shoes under the same conditions.

Averages are meaningful over large numbers of trials. During one or a few sessions or casino visits, though, encountering doubles twice per shoe or splits once every two shoes is pure happenstance. You might run into stretches featuring none at all, and others where they occur far more often. Getting fewer than the predicted number, or ignoring those that come along, boosts the effective house edge, a change only the bosses can like; it also holds the volatility of the game down – which you may regard as good or bad. Conversely, receiving and acting properly on more than the average can give you an edge. Further, if you succeed or fail more than anticipated on these hands, especially when they present themselves frequently, the volatility can boost you into the big buck bracket or wreak havoc with your finances, as the respective cases may be.

Naturally, enquiring minds want to know the actual effect doubling and splitting have on edge and volatility. As a baseline, take an eight-deck game with doubling on any two cards, doubling after splitting, resplitting any pairs except aces, and dealer standing on soft 17. Perfect Basic Blackjack Strategy in this environment keeps the house edge at a slim 0.43 percent and volatility, measured by “standard deviation,” at approximately 1.15 times the amount bet at the start of each round.

Without splits or doubles, standing or hitting – whichever is the next best choice – adds 2.15 percent to house advantage for 2.58 percent in all. With doubles but no splits, edge jumps 1.58 percent to 2.01 percent. With splits but no doubles, the increment would be 0.79 percent to 1.22 percent. Volatility-wise, avoiding splits or doubles cuts the bet multiplier per hand from 1.15 to 0.98. With doubles but no splits, standard deviation is 1.12; with splits but no doubles, it’s 1.02.

Over enough decisions, edge overwhelms volatility in casino gambling. It’s how the bosses make their moolah. The volatility of individuals’ wins and losses cancel out and leave a small fraction of a large gross wager in the casino coffers. Particular players rarely reach a point where edge dominates, certainly not in a single session or visit. Depending on the extent of their action, a balance of edge and volatility defines prospects for ecstasy or agony. Exploiting or skirting doubles and splits influences both parameters simultaneously. To appreciate how this affects projected performance, consider the impact of alternate modes of play on the chances of doubling a stake before going bust, and of staying in a game on a given budget for a specified period.

With perfect Basic Strategy, $10 bets on a $200 bankroll at the outset of every round yield approximately 47 percent chance of doubling a bankroll before going broke. At blackjack tables with four spots in play, chance is roughly 65 percent of remaining in the fray – up or down but not out – after four hours.

With neither doubles nor splits, prospects drop to 25 percent chance of doubling the bankroll and 59 percent of being in action for four hours. Doubling but not splitting, the outlook is 34 percent of doubling the stake and 57 percent of surviving for four hours, Splitting but not doubling, the likelihoods are 38 percent of doubling the poke and 66 percent of enduring for four hours.

Overall , hope of doing well is brightest by adhering to Basic Strategy, keeping edge low and volatility at 1.15. Obtaining more than the statistically-correct instances of splits and doubles, and succeeding at more than the theoretical rate, would be a bonus. There may be circumstances under which a proficient player holds back on these options. But players who do so as a general blackjack rule would be well advised to ponder whether they’re overbetting their fanny packs or their proclivities, and to weigh this wisdom of the wordster, Sumner A Ingmark:

There are two main methods at cheating at blackjack Internet Casinos, and both have been used successfully by professional con artists to exploit the weakness of internet blackjack.

Generations of blackjack hustlers have been trying to cheat casinos since the days of Jesse James and Wild Bill. Some were successful, the other were hung. Cheaters used different strategies which usually involved sleight of hand, mechanical device inside the sleeve, fake shuffles, marked cards, card counting system and of course the easiest method – bribing or colluding with the casino dealer. In today’s world of mobile and Internet gambling, many are curious if it’s possible to cheat at an Internet Casino, for informational purposes of course.

The answer is, yes, it is possible, and there are several methods to go about doing it. Some Internet blackjack cheating methods are virtually undetectable and thus nearly impossible to prevent. Blackjack bots are widely used today; their objective is to calculate the most profitable strategy to apply based on the cards dealt to the player. Bots will know what decision to make – fold, split, hit or double – to have the best chance of winning, and the bots will always make the perfect decision flawlessly. Utilizing bots will reduce casino’s edge over the player to a mere 0.5 %, which is the lowest of any game played against a traditional, mobile or Internet Casino. Very few professional blackjack players can even come close to this number for extended period of time, while a blackjack bot can maintain a perfect level of play indefinitely.

The second, and much more complex method of cheating at Internet blackjack card games is to use specifically designed software which exploits the weaknesses of the so-called ‘random number generator’ which is responsible for ‘shuffling’ the deck of cards. The major flaw of every computer is their inability to generate true random numbers, thus the algorithm of each shuffle can be predicted by a program which looks for patterns within the cards dealt. As long as you put in enough data about the sequence of the cards that have been dealt, the software, will start to predict the next cards that will be dealt. This of course would give the player a nice edge over the casino and allow the cheater to make maximum bets at strategic points of the game. Such software is used extensively by today’s cheaters and can even be bought on the net.

Cheating is all about making money, and the fun of playing the game itself is lost. Real fun and excitement from playing Internet blackjack comes from being able to use different blackjack strategies, learning Blackjack rules and becoming a true professional, after mastering this centuries old game. By using illegal devices the player is simply a thief, no better than a burglar who robs your home. Using your brain to win is much more exciting and rewarding than being on the same level as a purse snatcher. So memorize the hand charts and you too will always make perfect decisions, just like a computer.